Skip to content
SOCIETY, POPULATION & SOCIAL CHANGE / FIELD NOTE

Population Age Structure

Iran's population age structure describes how residents are distributed across age groups. Annual estimates show that the share aged under fifteen rose slightly during the mid-2010s before declining, while broader age categories require careful interpretation when discussing employment and dependency.

LEVEL 03Part of a connected cultural guide
Awaiting editorial review

This researched draft has not yet received final editorial approval.

Research cutoff: · Updated:

What an age structure describes

Population age structure shows the distribution of residents across ages, rather than simply how many people live in a country. Common broad categories distinguish children, conventional working ages, and older residents. These boundaries make comparisons possible, but they are analytical conventions: they do not establish whether a particular person attends school, works, receives a pension, or provides care. s1

The World Bank's age-dependency definition is particularly explicit about this limitation. It compares residents below fifteen and above sixty-four with those aged fifteen to sixty-four. The resulting ratio describes age composition, not actual economic dependency. Some people outside the conventional working-age band work, while some inside it do not. s1

[s1]

A recent pattern with a modest reversal

The annual series below measures the percentage of Iran's population aged zero through fourteen. It is not a birth rate or an absolute count of children. The observations show a small increase during the middle of the displayed period followed by a decline. Thus, describing every recent year as a continuous fall would obscure the actual pattern. s2

A falling share does not, by itself, establish that the number of children fell: the total population is the denominator. It also cannot isolate the contribution of births, survival, or migration. The indicator is useful for describing composition, while explaining its causes requires additional demographic evidence. [s2, s3]

[s2] [s3]
Iran: population aged 0–14 as a share of total population, 2012–2026The displayed share rises modestly into 2018 and then declines through 2025. The final year has no inspected observation and remains a gap; the published values are demographic estimates rather than annual census counts. [s2]
Loading chart…
Chart data visualization

Iran, national territory as represented in the World Development Indicators country series · gregorian

Data, units and methodology

World Development Indicators indicator SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS, distributed by FRED as SPPOP0014TOZSIRN. The share is the population aged 0–14 divided by total population, expressed on a 0–100 percentage scale. World Bank identifies United Nations World Population Prospects as the underlying source. Values are transcribed at published precision without author interpolation or rounding. FRED's January 1 dates identify annual observations and are not treated here as evidence of an enumeration on that date; exact reference boundaries remain null. All numeric observations are classified as source estimates. The inspected distribution does not identify the estimate-versus-projection boundary or scenario for its latest observation; 2025 must not be described as an observed census result. The requested default window is 2012–2026, with 2026 explicitly missing.

Population ages 0–14, percent of total population · gregorian
Reporting periodPopulation aged 0–14 (Percent of total population, 0–100 scale)
201223.278 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201323.302 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201423.412 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201523.591 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201623.767 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate; not substituted with a census percentage.[s2]
201723.896 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201823.962 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201923.913 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202023.774 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202123.55 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202223.221 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202322.839 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202422.441 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202522.022 estimated — Published source-modelled value; the inspected distribution does not specify whether this year belongs to the underlying projection segment.[s2]
2026Not available missing — No 2026 value appears in the inspected distribution; no author estimate was made.[s2]

Shares describe composition, not absolute numbers of children or school enrolment.

Annual estimates are not independent annual census enumerations.

FRED reports a last update of 2026-07-07, before the editorial cutoff; the live table was inspected on 2026-10-28 rather than through an archived cutoff-date snapshot.

The underlying release vintage and estimate-versus-projection boundary require confirmation before combining this series with other age groups.

No 2026 observation was available in the inspected table.

[s2] [s3]
Population ages 0–14, percent of total population · gregorian
Reporting periodPopulation aged 0–14 (Percent of total population, 0–100 scale)
201223.278 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201323.302 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201423.412 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201523.591 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201623.767 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate; not substituted with a census percentage.[s2]
201723.896 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201823.962 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
201923.913 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202023.774 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202123.55 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202223.221 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202322.839 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202422.441 estimated — Published annual demographic estimate.[s2]
202522.022 estimated — Published source-modelled value; the inspected distribution does not specify whether this year belongs to the underlying projection segment.[s2]
2026Not available missing — No 2026 value appears in the inspected distribution; no author estimate was made.[s2]
[s2]

Keeping age thresholds and sources consistent

A discussion of older residents must retain its age threshold. A measure beginning at sixty includes people excluded from a measure beginning at sixty-five; the two cannot be exchanged without changing the population being described. Similarly, a share of the national population cannot be compared directly with a dependency ratio whose denominator is only the conventional working-age population. s1

The World Bank identifies the United Nations Population Division's World Population Prospects as the source for its child-share indicator. The annual values inspected here were distributed through FRED, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's economic database. Their many decimal places should not be read as evidence of equally precise enumeration: these are published demographic series, subject to their source methods and later revisions. [s2, s3]

[s1] [s2] [s3]

What this measure can support

Age composition helps frame questions about infrastructure and service needs. It does not determine the answer: the same population share can correspond to different absolute populations, settlement patterns, and participation rates. The World Bank's metadata specifically distinguishes demographic dependency from economic dependency and notes the planning relevance of age structure. s1

The child-share series is therefore a starting point. A fuller assessment should add compatible counts and other age groups from the same statistical vintage, then examine regional differences. This page does not infer the older-population share by subtracting the child share alone, or turn an age category into an employment estimate.

[s1]

Sources & research notes

  1. [s1] Metadata Glossary: Age dependency ratioWorld Bank · SP.POP.DPND; definition, statistical concept and methodology, development relevance · Accessed 2026-10-28
  2. [s2] Table Data: Population Ages 0 to 14 for the Islamic Republic of IranFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; underlying series from World Bank · SPPOP0014TOZSIRN; annual rows 2012-01-01 through 2025-01-01; last-updated metadata 2026-07-07 · Accessed 2026-10-28
  3. [s3] Population ages 0–14 (% of total population): Iran, Islamic Rep.World Bank · Indicator SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS; source attribution to United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects · Accessed 2026-10-28

limitations

  • The numerical series covers only the child-population share; it is not a complete population pyramid.
  • The official indicator page supplied source attribution; FRED supplied the inspected annual numerical table.
  • Access took place after the research cutoff. FRED's stated update predates the cutoff, but an archived cutoff-date snapshot was not inspected.

unverified items

  • The underlying statistical revision and estimate-versus-projection classification of the 2025 observation were not specified in the inspected FRED table.

data gaps

  • No 2026 value was present in the inspected series.
  • Comparable annual working-age and older-age series, single-year ages, and provincial age distributions were not extracted; no missing components were inferred.

coverage period

Gregorian annual labels 2012–2025, with an explicit missing entry for 2026

Continue the story

THE VISUAL FIELD GUIDEEveryday culture & urban spacesExplore the illustrated perspective